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Value bets today: prices above the market
A value price (a +EV bet) pays more than the outcome's fair probability suggests. We work out fair odds from the whole market, then compare prices against them.
Fair odds for upcoming games
| Game | 1 | X | 2 | Vig |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HC Vítkovice – Bílí Tygři Liberec11:30 AM · Tipsport extraliga | +190Fair price: +212 | +310Fair price: +340 | +106Fair price: +121 | 6.9% |
| AZS Olsztyn – KS Norwid Częstochowa11:30 AM · PlusLiga | −192Fair price: −162 | – | +147Fair price: +162 | 6.0% |
| Energie Karlovy Vary – HC Kometa Brno12:00 PM · Tipsport extraliga | −105Fair price: +111 | +300Fair price: +333 | +213Fair price: +238 | 7.6% |
| Kpr Ostrovia Ostrow Wlkp – KPR Legionowo12:00 PM · ORLEN Superliga | −278Fair price: −206 | +830Fair price: +916 | +300Fair price: +337 | 8.5% |
| Fenerbahçe Istanbul – Slavia Praha12:45 PM · Champions League | −185Fair price: −161 | +360Fair price: +384 | +435Fair price: +463 | 5.1% |
| Sabah Masazir – Borussia Dortmund12:45 PM · Champions League | +775Fair price: +819 | +500Fair price: +530 | −333Fair price: −274 | 4.8% |
| HC Zubří – HC Dukla Praha1:30 PM · Czech Handball Extraliga | −118Fair price: +105 | +620Fair price: +700 | +132Fair price: +158 | 9.9% |
| AS Roma – ŠK Slovan Bratislava3:00 PM · Champions League | −833Fair price: −573 | +870Fair price: +917 | +1800Fair price: +1892 | 4.6% |
| FC Porto – PSV Eindhoven3:00 PM · Champions League | −192Fair price: −168 | +360Fair price: +383 | +475Fair price: +503 | 4.7% |
| Liverpool FC – Villarreal CF3:00 PM · Champions League | −200Fair price: −173 | +370Fair price: +394 | +480Fair price: +510 | 4.9% |
| Manchester City – AEK Athens3:00 PM · Champions League | −769Fair price: −530 | +810Fair price: +857 | +1650Fair price: +1741 | 4.9% |
| Paris Saint-Germain – FC Barcelona3:00 PM · Champions League | +150Fair price: +162 | +325Fair price: +346 | +142Fair price: +154 | 4.6% |
| SSC Napoli – Bodoe/Glimt3:00 PM · Champions League | −130Fair price: −116 | +300Fair price: +320 | +325Fair price: +346 | 4.8% |
| VfB Stuttgart – Atlético Madrid3:00 PM · Champions League | +225Fair price: +241 | +285Fair price: +304 | +107Fair price: +117 | 4.8% |
| Detroit Pistons – Boston Celtics3:00 PM · NBA | +101Fair price: +111 | – | −124Fair price: −111 | 5.0% |
| Montreal Canadiens – San Jose Sharks7:00 PM · NHL | −133Fair price: −113 | +335Fair price: +369 | +260Fair price: +288 | 7.3% |
| New Jersey Devils – Colorado Avalanche7:00 PM · NHL | +140Fair price: +159 | +300Fair price: +332 | +142Fair price: +161 | 7.4% |
| New York Islanders – Anaheim Ducks7:00 PM · NHL | +105Fair price: +119 | +305Fair price: +333 | +200Fair price: +220 | 6.4% |
| Washington Capitals – Los Angeles Kings7:00 PM · NHL | +100Fair price: +115 | +300Fair price: +329 | +210Fair price: +233 | 6.8% |
| Columbus Blue Jackets – Toronto Maple Leafs7:00 PM · NHL | +102Fair price: +116 | +315Fair price: +344 | +200Fair price: +221 | 6.5% |
| New York Knicks – Philadelphia 76ers7:00 PM · NBA | −182Fair price: −161 | – | +149Fair price: +161 | 4.5% |
| FIU Panthers – Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders7:00 PM · NCAA Football | −500Fair price: −333 | – | +300Fair price: +333 | 7.7% |
| Delaware Blue Hens – Missouri State Bears7:00 PM · NCAA Football | −156Fair price: −130 | – | +114Fair price: +130 | 7.2% |
| Marshall Herd – South Alabama Jaguars7:30 PM · NCAA Football | +120Fair price: +138 | – | −167Fair price: −138 | 7.4% |
+110 Market average+125 Fair price
Fair odds
We take the market's average prices, remove the vig with the multiplicative method and turn the resulting fair probability back into a price: fair odds = 1 ÷ fair probability. The full method is in our odds methodology.
value = price × fair probability − 1
Example: a decimal price of 2.30 on an outcome with a fair probability of 46% gives a value of +5.8%.
Before you use it
- A value price is not a guaranteed profit. The fair probability is an estimate, and the market can be wrong.
- Prices change quickly; check the price at the sportsbook before you bet.
- Bet only what you can afford to lose (responsible gaming).